Sunday, February 21, 2010

STOCK IN FOCUS: MRC ALLIED INDUSTRIES, INC. (MRC)

Figure 1. MRC Price Chart
Price and moving averages:
MRC has closed below its Short time moving average.
Short time moving average is currently above mid-time, andabove long time moving averages.
The relationship between price and moving averages is: neutral in short-term, and bullish in mid-long term.

Bollinger Bands:
MRC has closed above bottom band by 41.1%.
Bollinger Bands are 67.1% wider than normal.
The large width of the bands suggest high volatility as compared to MRC's normal range.  Therefore, the probability of volatility decreasing and prices entering (or remaining in) a trading range has increased for the near-term. The bands have been in this wide range for  5 bars.The probability of prices consolidating into a less volatile trading range increases the longer the bands remain in this wide range.

Historical Volatility:
50 day Historical Volatility is 135% (desired: greater than 40%).
6/100 day ratio Historical Volatility is 0.66 ( desired: less than 0.50).

Trend Direction and Strength:
MRC is moving sideways to up in a very strong trend strength.

Support/Resistance Lines:
Support: 0.78
Resistance: 0.89

Figure 2. Other technical indicators
RSI:
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 50.35.  This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area.  The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.

Stochastic:
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 12.94. This is an oversold reading.  However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses above 20  The last signal was a sell  3 period(s) ago. 

MACD:
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. Currently the MACD is bearish since it is trading below its signal line. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.

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